Kyrylo Budanov

person · Head of the Office of the President of UkraineCredibility: 55%

Why this score? Career military-intelligence officer, long head of Ukraine's HUR before moving to the Presidential Office. Precise and often early on Russian force movements and intentions, and his disclosures have repeatedly been borne out; but he speaks for a belligerent and his forecasts about negotiations and Russian collapse have run optimistic. Above the midpoint for factual disclosure, well short of authoritative on the future.

Tracked Statements (1)

A new round of talks between the Ukrainian and Russian delegations could take place as early as September. The negotiations are paused but could soon be revived — “And with the Americans too. We can't do without them.”^?

— Kyrylo Budanov · Aug 27, 2026

Topic: ukraine russia war/peace negotiations

Source ↗

Context: Not tagged as a prediction: “could take place as early as September” is a hedge, not a falsifiable forecast. No session has convened since the Istanbul rounds. On the same day, Bloomberg reported that people close to the Kremlin consider the frameworks collapsed.